Service Plays Saturday 8/21/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Kevin Slowey, Minnesota Twins (11-5, 4.22 ERA)

Slowey was pulled after seven innings of a no-hit bid in his last outing to protect his arm. The tendinitis may show up on the MRI, but not on his ERA. In his last three starts he is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA. He will likely be on a pitch count again today.

Kevin Correia, San Diego Padres (10-7, 4.63 ERA)

Correia has turned it on since the All-Star break, going 5-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his six starts since the Midsummer Classic. The righty has been particularly impressive in his last three starts, going 3-0 with two scoreless outings and striking out 12 batters to only three walks.

Slumping

Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants (11-7, 3.62 ERA)

"The Freak" has lived up to his nickname for all the wrong reasons in his last three starts, going 0-3 with a freakish 9.00 ERA during that spell. He's lasted four innings or less in his last two home outings, allowing 11 earned runs in just 7 2/3 innings. On the bright side, the Giants are 9-3 in his last 12 road starts so maybe a change of venue will do him good.

Freddy Garcia, Chicago White Sox (10-5, 5.07 ERA)

Garcia got knocked around for five earned runs in five innings of work in his last start against the Tigers, extending his cold streak since the All-Star break. The righty's ERA has ballooned to 8.84 over his last five starts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's FOX Notes

Saturday’s FOX pro baseball slate features three playoff contenders on the diamond, with the Braves, Rangers and Twins looking to continue their postseason push. Even though these clubs have serious shots to go dancing, it doesn’t mean they’re automatic locks at the betting counter. Let’s take a closer look at their matchups this afternoon. The first pitch for each contest is slated for 4:10 p.m. EDT.

Atlanta at Chicago Cubs

The Braves still hold a three-game lead over the Phillies in the National League East but that gap has shrunk in the second-half of the season. After notching a 5-2 mark in its recent homstand, Atlanta stayed hot on Friday by rallying past the Cubs for a 5-3 victory. The loss for Chicago was its eighth straight at home, which is its longest skid in four years, and also was the fifth consecutive overall. Lou Piniella’s squad is now 4-19 in their last 23 games and Friday’s afternoon choke job defined the disappointing season at Wrigley Field.

Most of Atlanta’s success has come at home (44-17) this season, but winning on the road (28-33) has been a different story. While they’ve been inconsistent, the Cubs have been consistently bad at home (27-37) and on the road (23-36).

The Braves’ Tommy Hanson (8-8, 3.41 ERA) will look to hand the Cubs another home loss on Saturday and he’s got a nice chance to do so. Hanson has had three straight no decisions but the Braves have won two of the battles. In those starts, he’s only allowed 10 hits and two earned runs over 21 innings. Hanson has only faced the Cubs once in his career, and he came up on the wrong side (0-2), which occurred on Apr. 8 earlier this season. Hanson and the Braves have been installed as a medium favorites (-155) for the afternoon tilt.

Countering Atlanta will be the Cubs’ Tom Gorzelanny (6-7, 3.85 ERA). The left-hander has been off his game lately and Chicago has dropped all of his last four starts. During this stretch, he’s been tattooed for 30 hits and 17 earned runs, despite going 25 2/3 innings. Atlanta has fared decent against southpaws (22-20) this season, but its only 2-6 in afternoon road games versus lefties.

Including yesterday’s win, Atlanta has gone 3-1 in its four meetings with Chicago this season. The ‘under’ has posted a 3-1 mark as well.

Texas at Baltimore

The Rangers and Orioles continue their four-game set on Saturday from Camden Yards and the visitor is laying some serious wood (-240) at most betting shops. Before we delve into the pitching matchups, the home underdog appears to present value especially when you look at the head-to-head matchups this season. Texas beat Baltimore (4-3, 13-7) in mid-May at home but the Orioles bounced back with an eye opening four-game road sweep just before the All-Star break.

Baltimore also took the opener in this set on Thursday with a 4-0 shutout but not before Texas bounced back with a 2-0 victory on Friday. The win for the Rangers snapped a four-game losing streak but make a note that the team is still 4-7 in their last 11 games. Despite the late-season slump, they still hold a comfortable eight-game lead over the L.A. Angels in the American League West.

Texas has a good opportunity to show its muscle again this afternoon when its ace Cliff Lee (10-6, 2.77 ERA) takes the hill. Even though Lee is arguably the best pitcher in baseball, the Rangers have only gone 3-5 in his eight starts with the club and that includes back-to-back losses to the Yankees (6-7) and Rays (4-6) in his last two. To his defense, Lee was in control in both contests but he faltered late and the bullpen couldn’t hold leads. Against Baltimore, Lee has gone 4-1 with a 3.14 ERA and the one loss occurred in his Rangers’ debut on July 10. The Orioles have had trouble versus lefties this season, averaging 3.3 runs per game, which has translated into a 12-26 record.

Baltimore’s Brad Bergesen (4-9, 5.80 ERA) gets a chance to outshine Lee and the club should have confidence behind the hurler. The Orioles have won all of his last three appearances albeit against weaker lineups in the White Sox (2-1), Indians (3-1) and Mariners (5-4). Bergesen has started once against Texas in his career and was lit up for 10 hits and five earned runs in just four innings.

Total players should make a note that Rangers have watched the ‘under’ go 6-2 in Lee’s eight appearances, but his last two games went ‘over.’ Most sportsbooks have the total hovering at either 7 ½ or 8 runs for today.

L.A. Angels at Minnesota

The Twins appear to be finding their postseason form at the right time and you can tell by looking at the latest standings. Minnesota holds a 4 1/2-game lead over the White Sox in the AL Central and it’s due to their second-half surge. Ron Gardenhire’s team has gone 25-9 since the All-Star break and that includes a 13-5 record at Target Field.

Last night, Minnesota showed why some pundits are calling the club a “Sleeping Giant.” They dominated the Angels behind a sound hitting offense, plus they got a great performance from Brian Duensing.

On Saturday, Kyle Slowey (11-5, 4.22 ERA) will look to keep the Twins rolling along and he’s been in good form. He’s gone 3-0 in his last four starts, which includes a no-hit performance through seven innings on Sunday against the Athletics. Despite flirting with history, Slowey’s pitch count was high and he’s had elbow tendinitis issues. Helping Slowey’s confidence during this stretch has been an offense that has posted 26 runs over the four games. The right-hander has been listed as a $1.90 favorite at most shops for this afternoon, while the total is hovering around 9 1/2 runs.

The Angels will counter with Trevor Bell (1-3, 5.40 ERA) this afternoon, who pitched three innings in relief Tuesday. Los Angeles has had trouble with its rotation all season, which is why he’s getting the not as the fifth starter against Minnesota. In three starts this season, Bell is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA.

After Friday’s win, Minnesota now owns a 4-1 record against Los Angeles this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's Preseason Action

We’ve got a week’s worth of preseason games in the NFL and there’s plenty to keep an eye on. Favorites have gone 11-5 straight up in Week 1 of the exhibition schedule, but they covered the spread in just eight of those games. High scores were also the order of the week as the ‘over’ posted a profitable 11-5 mark. Saturday’s card is loaded up with 11 matchups. We’re going to focus on three games between some clubs many expect a lot out of this year.

Steelers at Giants – 7:00 p.m. EDT

On the outside, Pittsburgh’s 23-7 home win over the Lions was as impressive a start to the preseason as you can expect in a driving rain. Looking into how certain players did will tell a different story.

Byron Leftwich has been tabbed as the starter at the onset of the season with Ben Roethlisberger pretending to be a good boy. Unfortunately for Pittsburgh backers, Leftwich completed just 6 of 10 passes for 43 yards. Dennis Dixon fared well by failing to connect on just one of his seven throws for 128 yards and the lone passing score for the Steelers. Adding more woes to the offense was that Rashard Mendenhall showed he still knows how to cough up the rock, fumbling on the first series of the game.

The Steelers’ stoppers did their job last week against Detroit, letting them move the chains twice on nine third-down plays. Their secondary was a bit porous in giving up 208 yards, but safety Ryan Clark did pick off Matthew Stafford.

Recent reports are stating that Roethlisberger will play on Saturday night in the Meadowlands. However, there is no indication that he’ll open up as their starter under center. Dennis Dixon also looks like he’ll be getting a good chunk of snaps as well.

The Giants are playing their first home game in their new digs on Saturday, but second tilt there in the preseason. New York made the most of its debut by controlling the Jets as a three-point road pup. It wasn’t without injuries though after Eli Manning got bloodied after losing his helmet in the opening of the game. We’re not going to see Manning in this matchup at all, leaving the door open for Jim Sorgi to firm up his post as the backup QB. Sorgi looked good in his debut with the G-Men, connecting on 8 of 15 pass attempts for 146 yards and a pair of touchdowns. That helped Victor Cruz look like a diamond in the rough with six receptions for 145 yards, three of those catches leading to touchdowns.

New York’s defense was having fun messing with the Jets’ quarterbacks, picking off three total passes. Plus, they held Gang Green to just 83 yards on the ground. Not bad for an opening battle.

Most betting shops have listed the Steelers as four-point road favorite with a total of 33 ½.

Pittsburgh offers up some great trends for this game when you’re heading to the betting window. The Steelers have gone 2-2 SU, but 0-4 ATS in their last four games as preseason road favorites. Meanwhile, the ‘under’ has posted a 3-1 mark in those games. New York is 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS as a home pup in the preseason since 2002, with the ‘under’ going 4-2.

Texans at Saints – 8:00 p.m. EDT

Saturday marks the first time the Saints will play in front of their fans since taking home the Vince Lombardi Trophy in February. It almost goes without saying that all hell just might break loose in the Superdome this weekend.

New Orleans is coming off of a 27-24 setback against the Patriots as a 1 ½-point road pup. Drew Brees threw just 13 times, but completed 9 of them for 55 yards and got sacked once. But there is reason to be optimistic about the Saints’ backups. That’s because they reeled of 17 points in the final 25 minutes of the game.

Don’t look for Brees to be on the field much for this game. Instead, Chase Daniel and Patrick Ramsey will share the majority of the workload.

Houston did about everything they wanted in its road game but win in a 19-16 loss as a 2 ½-point road favorites to the Cardinals. Matt Schaub didn’t play much but made it count by completing 5 of 6 passes for 78 yards and a touchdown. It appears that Schaub will get more playing time in this contest before bowing out for Dan Orlovsky and John David Booty.

For bettors looking to back the Saints, they may want to think twice about it. The defending Super Bowl champs are 2-6 SU and ATS in their preseason home dates under Sean Payton. The ‘under’ is 5-2-1 in those games as well.

This game has been posted as a pick ‘em with a total of 41 at many sportsbooks.

Cowboys at Chargers – 9:00 p.m. EDT

Here’s a little preseason battle between teams that have a penchant for underachieving in the postseason. Oh, the fun of it all.

The Cowboys enter this contest having dropped their home opener 17-9 as three-point favorites against Oakland. Tony Romo looked like he had a good handle on his abilities in short stint, hitting on 4 of his 7 passes for 52 yards. But the Raiders were able to sack Romo three times. Those kind of numbers happen when you have starting o-linemen like Marc Columbo and Kyle Kosier out of the starting lineup with injuries. That defense was able to hold Dallas to just three third-down conversions on 16 total chances.

Wade Phillips has already confirmed that Romo will start behind a rag tag offensive line. This will also directly affect the ground attack for the ‘Boys. The running game accounted for just 66 yards last week against Oakland and 85 versus Cincinnati in the Hall of Fame Game.

San Diego is feeling good so far after making short work of the Bears in a 25-10 triumph as a 2 ½-point home “chalk.” Most important for Charger fans was Ryan Matthews racking up 50 yards on nine carries. Philip Rivers also made the most of his short time on the field by connecting on 4 of his 6 passes for 62 yards and the lone passing touchdown for the Bolts.

The Chargers enter this game as 2 ½-point home favorites with a total of 36 ½.

Norv Turner has had good fortunes with San Diego as a home favorite in his three years running the club. One look at his 4-2 SU mark will tell you that’s true. As far as gamblers are concerned, he can take a leap after going just 2-4 ATS. The ‘under’ went 4-2 during this stretch of games.

The Cowboys have not been a strong wager when a preseason road pup under Phillips’s tenure, going 1-3 SU and ATS since 2007. The ‘over’ is 3-1 in that time frame.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Saturday Preseason: What Bettors Need to Know

Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants (+4, 34)

The spread for this game has swung nearly a touchdown after opening at 2.5 in favor of the Giants. The total has also dropped two points. There are a few factors playing into the large line movement.

Eli Manning will miss the game because of 12 stitches in his forehead. He sustained a three-inch gash there Monday night and the Giants don’t want to risk reopening the wound with his helmet.

It was also reported that New York’s backup quarterback, Jim Sorgi, will be out two to three weeks because of a sore shoulder. That leaves third-stringer Rhett Bomar to start and he will likely play the majority of the game. Dominic Randolph is the only other quarterback listed on the Giants’ official website roster.

Mike Tomlin has confirmed that Ben Roethlisberger will play in the game but won’t say whether he will start or not. Tomlin said earlier this week that the team was “not interested in sending [him] out there with the second team.”

Baltimore Ravens at Washington Redskins (-3, 38.5)

The Ravens have won five straight preseason games going back to last year and head coach John Harbaugh wants the streak to continue.

“You can lose all four preseason games and go out and win a Super Bowl. My guess is that’s been done before,” Harbaugh said last week. “But we’d sure rather win. I’d rather get the feel of winning. So we’re going to try to win them all. That’s our goal.”

Joe Flacco played three series last week before giving way to Marc Bulger. Third-teamer Troy Smith was under center the entire second half.

Fabian Washington has returned from injury and will start at cornerback while Chris Carr could also start on the opposite side. Six offensive linemen missed practice time for the Ravens this week.

Donovan McNabb’s debut in the nation’s capital was a good one after Washington rolled up 42 points in the preseason opener. McNabb and the starters saw action in two series. Rex Grossman completed 11-of-18 passes for 140 yards and two scores before John Beck took over late in the third quarter.

St. Louis Rams at Cleveland Browns (-3, 35.5)

Jake Delhomme led the Browns on an 80-yard, touchdown-scoring drive in his only series as Cleveland defeated Green Bay, 27-24, as 4-point underdogs last Saturday.

Seneca Wallace played two possessions before giving way to rookie Colt McCoy. The rookie out of Texas missed practice Monday with a thumb injury but returned Tuesday and should play this week. Brett Ratliff will serve as the fourth-string quarterback.

Sam Bradford got a rude welcome to the NFL in his debut, getting sacked four times and fumbling a snap. A.J. Feeley played two series last week and will continue to start for St. Louis. Keith Null is the third option under center and he played most of the third and fourth quarters last week.

Steven Jackson dressed for the game but did not play. He is expected to be extremely limited during the preseason coming off of back surgery.

Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2, 36)

The Jaguars have moved to a 2-point favorite after this game’s spread surfaced as a pick ‘em.

David Garrard and the Jacksonville starters played three series last week and converted only one first down. As a team, the Jags rushed for 14 yards.

Backup quarterback Luke McCown threw for 244 yards and three touchdowns in six series of action. Trevor Harris finished the night under center.

After a 10-7 win over Tampa Bay last week, Miami head coach Tony Sparano improved his career preseason record to 8-1. Chad Henne started that game but Tyler Thigpen saw the majority of action, drawing speculation that he could be on the trading block. Chad Pennington did not play and Pat White appeared late in the fourth.

There is a 40 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms expected in Jacksonville throughout the week so field conditions could be sloppy.

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2, 34)

The Chiefs have dropped five straight preseason games and are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 preseason contests.

Matt Cassel and the starters played four series in the 20-10 loss to Atlanta last week. Brodie Croyle and Tyler Palko were the second- and third-string quarterbacks in the Kansas City rotation but Croyle missed practice Wednesday and is questionable to play.

Thomas Jones started ahead of Jamaal Charles at running back but the veteran only played one series.

Tampa Bay’s first team only appeared in two series last week because of a muddy field. Josh Freeman was relieved by Josh Johnson and then Rudy Carpenter handled mop-up time. Starting receiver Maurice Stovall sprained his ankle in the first quarter of the game and will not play this week.

Southern Florida is projected to be battered by rain this weekend to the tune of 40-60 percent so field conditions could be less than ideal.

New York Jets at Carolina Panthers (+1.5, 34)

It was interesting to see the Jets starters play nearly the entire first half Monday night. It must have just been Rex Ryan attempting to please the fans at the New Meadowlands Stadium because he stated they won’t play past the first quarter on Saturday.

Center Nick Mangold sustained a head injury during warmups and missed last week’s game but returned to practice Wednesday. Fullback John Conner was limited this week in practice.

The Panthers failed to post a touchdown in their preseason opener, only managing two field goals. Matt Moore appeared in three series and completed four-of-seven passes for 32 yards. Jimmy Clausen replaced Moore, followed by Hunter Cantwell and then Tony Pike for one series.

Carolina’s starting safety Sherrod Martin has a strained groin and missed practice Wednesday.

Houston Texans at New Orleans Saints (Pick, 41)

This is the highest preseason total to date and early money moved it a half point higher.

The Texans continue to get love at the betting window, moving this spread to a pick after opening as 2.5-point pups. A similar situation occurred last week against Arizona but Houston lost the game 19-16.

Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson and the rest of Houston’s starters played two series in that contest. Head coach Gary Kubiak said that Dan Orlovsky was going to play most of the game and he stayed true to his word as the journeyman saw action into the fourth quarter. John David Booty played the final few possessions.

Rookie running back Ben Tate broke his ankle and will miss the rest of the season.

Drew Brees and the starting unit managed -1 yards from scrimmage during their first two series of a 27-24 loss to New England last weekend. Patrick Ramsey took over under center after Brees exited and played into the fourth quarter while Chase Daniel saw garbage time in the fourth.

New Orleans lost third-string running back Lynell Hamilton for the season after tearing his ACL. The team added veteran Ladell Betts to provide insurance in the backfield.

"We know each other well because this is the third year we've done it," Schaub said of the teams holding joint practices all week. "We've got little bit of a rivalry, but it's fun."

Oakland Raiders at Chicago Bears (-1, 33.5)

The Raiders defeated Dallas it their preseason opener but all 17 of their points came with less than five minutes left in the fourth quarter.

Jason Campbell played the entire first half but misfired on a few passes and lost a fumble. Oakland’s reserve quarterbacks are beat up so Kyle Boller was the only other signal caller to take the field. Tom Cable did say that Colt Brennan could see some action Saturday however. Darren McFadden has not practiced all week and isn’t expected to play.

The Bears offense managed just 10 points and 216 total yards in the loss to San Diego last Saturday. Lovie Smith had hinted his starters could play an entire half in that game but he lied as Jay Cutler and Co. were finished after one series.

Caleb Hanie played the next five possessions but injured his shoulder and won’t be active this week. Chicago signed Matt Gutierrez Wednesday but it is unclear if he will play. Dan LeFevour is the third-team quarterback but he has struggled mightily during camp.

Smith is 5-1 in Week 2 of the preseason. There is a 60 percent chance of rain Saturday.

Detroit Lions at Denver Broncos (-3, 36)

Tim Tebow was wearing a flak jacket to protect his injured ribs earlier this week and then missed practice Wednesday and Thursday. His status for the game is questionable.

If Tebow can’t go, Marquez Branson could see playing time behind starter Kyle Orton and backup Brady Quinn. Orton played three series Sunday night and threw touchdown passes in two of them.

Knowshon Moreno, Correll Buckhalter and LenDale White are out with various injuries so Lance Ball and newly acquired Justin Fargas are battling it out for first-team duties.

The Lions looked pretty pathetic during a 28-7 loss to Pittsburgh in their preseason opener. Matthew Stafford and the starters played into the second quarter and registered the lone score on their final drive. Reserve quarterbacks Shaun Hill and Drew Stanton were ineffective.

Kevin Smith did not play versus the Steelers and likely won’t suit up this weekend.

Dallas Cowboys at San Diego Chargers (-3, 36.5)

The Cowboys were released as 1.5-point underdogs and the spread now stands at a field goal. Dallas is 0-5 straight up and against the spread against in its last five preseason games against the AFC West.

The Cowboys have failed to score a touchdown this preseason. After ranking 18th in red zone scoring percentage last year, they are 0-for-7 inside the 20 during the preseason.

Tony Romo played for two series in the loss to Oakland, then Jon Kitna for four series, Stephen McGee and finally Matt Nichols. Starting right tackle Marc Columbo and left guard Kyle Kosier will miss this game with knee injuries.

Shawne Merriman ended his holdout by signing a one-year tender with the Chargers but his Achilles’ tendon was aggravated Tuesday and will miss the game.

Phillip Rivers was on the field for two possessions against the Bears before backup Billy Volek took over. Third-teamer Jonathan Crompton saw action in the fourth.

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (-1, 38.5)

Defensive coordinator Dom Capers said the Packers will keep the defensive gameplan simple on Saturday.

“In year two, especially if you have young guys you need to find out about, you can't give them too much,” he said. “I believe that if you play fast and play smart, you always have a chance. We just need to make sure we are playing hard and playing smart.”

Translation: We’re not going to put our best foot forward and our main objective is to keep guys healthy.

Green Bay got a scare when Ryan Grant fumbled on his first carry then exited the game with a concussion two plays later. He was back on the practice field Tuesday and should be ready to play Saturday.

Aaron Rodgers played four series in the contest. The Packers’ quarterback rotation rounded out with Matt Flynn and finally Graham Harrell.

Matt Hasselbeck and the Seahawks’ starters played three series and netted 32 total yards last weekend. Backup quarterback Charlie Whitehurst looked extremely sharp during his extended playing time while third-teamer J.P. Losman was awful. Leon Washington is expected to play on Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LADY LUCK

Saturday's WNBA Best Bet

Chicago Sky at Tulsa Shock (6, 164)

The Sky are reaching new heights behind center Sylvia Fowles, its 6-foot-6 star that is turning double-doubles into a nightly occurance.

Last week she turned in 24 points and 14 rebounds in a win over defending WNBA champion Phoenix. She tallied 18 and 14 Tuesday night in a win over Atlanta.

"I always feel I can do better. I’m learning different things and feel like I have a ways to go," Fowles told reporters. "I just love to compete."

Fowles' emergence comes after the Sky have been eliminated from playoff contention, but that isn't stopping her from advancing her game, especially against the lowly Shock.

Tulsa has lost 24 of its last 26 games and is waving the white flag on the 2010 season. Furthermore, the Shock do not have a true center in their lineup who can hang with Fowles.

Pick: Chicago

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RW Sports 101-104.5-19.5 (yesterday no pick)

stoke - spurs, stoke +0 (dnb), 2.25 @ blue square/888/betfred/eurobet

qpr - scunthorpe, qpr -1, 1.83 @ pinnacle

wigan - chelsea, chelsea -1.5, 1.78 @ pinnacle

arsenal - blackpool, arsenal -1.75, 1.63 @ pinnacle

leeds - millwall, under 2.5 goals, 1.81 @ pinnacle

stoke - spurs, draw, 3.40 @ stan james

everton - wolves, under 2.5 goals, 1.90 @ canbet

birmingham - blackburn, draw, 3.27 @ pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

TB (-125) over OAK

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Saturday's Best MLB Bets

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (-110, 8)

The betting public continues to jump on the Stephen Strasburg bandwagon despite his recent struggles. That's why the last-place Nats are a virtual pick-em against the surging Phillies.

In his two starts since returning from the DL, the rookie righthander is 0-1 with a 6.67 ERA. He hasn't lasted more than five innings and has given up two homers.

Is he good? Absolutely. But great? Not yet.

"I don't think we saw his best stuff," said Arizona's Adam LaRoche, who took Strasburg deep in his last outing. "I think he was a little erratic at times."

Strasburg will be on a pitch count again today, so even if he is effective it isn't likely to last for long. It is his first start against the Phillies, who are hammering righties to the tune of .274 in their last 10.

With Chase Utley back in the lineup and the Phillies trying to make a run at the first-place Braves, look for them to take it to the rookie - even if his name is Strasburg.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies


Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees (-235, 9)

Picking winners in baseball is easy. Finding value? Not so much, which is why this game strikes us as a possible money-making opportunity.

All signs point to a Yankees' win since they're 27 games ahead of the M's. But Seattle may be in position to pull an upset today in the Bronx.

It all starts on the mound, where lefthander Jason Vargas takes the ball for the Mariners. The lefty is 3-0 over his last three starts, posting a 2.84 ERA over that stretch. His previous win before the streak came on June 22 so Vargas truly is riding a hot streak.

The Yankees counter with Javier Vazquez, who has fallen on hard times lately. The righthander is 0-2 in his last three starts with a 7.24 ERA during that span. It took him 106 pitches to get through the fourth inning in his last outing.

The M's are batting better against righties lately (.267 in their last 10) and are getting their third look at Vazquez this season. He is 0-1 in two starts against the M's this season. The Yanks are coping with injuries and the fallout from Roger Clemens' indictment.

Logic may point to the men in pinstripes but the pitching matchup presents a chance to double up thanks to the knee-jerk betting public.

Pick: Seattle Mariners

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE ASIAN EXECUTIVE

NFL PREMIUM PLAYS
9 UNIT TOTAL LOCK OF THE WEEKEND [411] Miami Dolphins Under 36
9 UNIT MONEYLINE LOCK OF THE WEEKEND [413] Kansas City Chiefs +122
8 UNIT [413] Kansas City Chiefs +2.5
7 UNIT [410] NY Giants +3
7 UNIT [415] St Louis Rams +3
5 UNIT [422] Chicago Bears -2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Craig Masters

Bonus Play
4 UNIT SD Padres -115 ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GREEK SPORTS PICKS

MLB PREMIUM PLAYS
6 UNIT Colorado Rockies
6 UNIT Under 7 St Louis/SF Giants

NFL PRESEASON PLAYS
4 UNIT Pittsburgh Steelers -4

ENGLISH PREMIER SOCCER PLAYS
2 UNIT Chelsea -1.5
2 UNIT Over 2.5 Sunderland/West Bom Albion

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Dunkel

SATURDAY, AUGUST 21
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (8/19)

Game 407-408: Baltimore at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 121.381; Washington 122.811
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Over

Game 409-410: Pittsburgh at NY Giants (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 124.245; NY Giants 120.692
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 30
Vegas Line: Pick; 34
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh; Under

Game 411-412: Miami at Jacksonville (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.426; Jacksonville 123.253
Dunkel Line: Even; 32
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2; 36
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2); Under

Game 413-414: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 116.212; Tampa Bay 121.594
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 5 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-2); Over

Game 415-416: St. Louis at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.264; Cleveland 122.941
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3 1/2; 32
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3); Under

Game 417-418: Houston at New Orleans (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 119.754; New Orleans 128.191
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 8 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Pick; 41
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans; Over

Game 419-420: NY Jets at Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 121.498; Carolina 119.469
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 2; 37
Vegas Line: Pick; 34
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets; Over

Game 421-422: Oakland at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 121.291; Chicago 124.195
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 3; 31
Vegas Line: Pick; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago; Under

Game 423-424: Dallas at San Diego (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.504; San Diego 124.794
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Under

Game 425-426: Detroit at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.086; Denver 123.744
Dunkel Line: Denver by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3); Over

Game 427-428: Green Bay at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 123.668; Seattle 127.616
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 1; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-1); Under

 

[motor87]

axiumsports

August 21st 2010

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$2,838.37

Pick #16-Germany Bundesliga Soccer-
16)Bet 36.61 to win 35.55 on Hannover 96/Eintracht Frankfurt UNDER 2.5 -103

Pick #17-MLB-
17a)Bet 37.07 to win 35.31 on Texas/Baltimore UNDER 7.5 -105

17b)Bet 76.88 to win 73.22 on Texas/Baltimore UNDER 7.5 -105

Pick #18-NFL Preseason-
18aa)Bet 37.53 to win 35.74 on Dallas +2.5 OVER San Diego -105
18ab)Bet 77.85 to win 74.14 on Dallas +2.5 OVER San Diego -105

18ba)Bet 37.09 to win 35.32 on Dallas +2.5 OVER San Diego -105
18bb)Bet 161.45 to win 153.76 on Dallas +2.5 OVER San Diego -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chad Greene

PREMIUM PLAY
Colorado Rockies -159

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Best top picks 6-7 (0-1)

Rennes - St.Etienne pick 1 (France 1) 1PM ET

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Red Sox Friday night.

Saturday it's the Ravens and Texans. The profit is 75 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Burnett, brutal as always, was unable to stop the mighty Mariners last night, which wiped out (and then some) the good work submitted by the Meta mucils and caused Hondo's debt to grow slightly to 1,575 monbouquettes.

Tonight, he'll roll the dice and go against Matsu zaka and the Sawx --10 units on the Blue Jays.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
498 - 366 run 58 %

Bonus Play Sat SL Cards -150

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CappersAccess

(NFL) Redskins
(NFL) Giants

(MLB) W.Sox